Has the Iran–US Conflict Changed Aviation Traffic Between India and the Middle East?

Has the Iran–US Conflict Changed Aviation Traffic Between India and the Middle East?

By Manu Vardhan Kannan

Published on October 12, 2026

The ongoing conflict in West Asia is putting pressure on India’s air connectivity with the Gulf, international trade and pilgrimage travel, with airlines facing repeated disruptions as security risks increase across the region. The latest attacks around Riyadh have added fresh uncertainty to flight operations, highlighting how quickly regional tensions can affect travel between India and the Middle East.

The disruption has not resulted in a complete and permanent decline in India–Gulf travel demand. Instead, airlines and passengers are dealing with cancellations, diversions, changing schedules and higher travel costs. The situation remains fluid, with the availability of flights varying by destination and security conditions.

India - Gulf Air Connectivity Faces Repeated Disruptions

The escalation of the Iran conflict following US–Israel strikes in late February 2026 led to widespread restrictions on air travel across parts of the Middle East. Airlines were forced to cancel services, reroute aircraft and adjust schedules as airspace closures and security assessments affected operations. The impact has extended beyond direct flights to the Gulf. For Indian carriers, the region is also an important corridor for services connecting India with Europe and North America. Restrictions on routes through the Gulf, combined with limitations on Indian carriers' access to Pakistani airspace, have added pressure to flight planning and operating costs.

The UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia remain important markets for Indian travellers, including workers, families, business passengers and tourists. However, the level of disruption differs across destinations, and flight availability can change quickly as airlines respond to fresh security developments. The latest developments in Saudi Arabia have added to these concerns. Attacks around King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh have prompted flight cancellations and suspensions by several airlines. On October 10, reports of another attack and an evacuation at the airport brought further uncertainty to operations. 

Pilgrimage Travel Faces Higher Costs and Uncertainty

The disruption is also creating challenges for Indian travellers planning religious journeys to Saudi Arabia, particularly those travelling for Hajj and Umrah. While the reported attacks have focused attention on airport security and flight operations, the main concern for pilgrims is the reliability of travel arrangements. Cancellations, connecting-flight changes and limited alternative services can affect itineraries, accommodation plans and package costs.

Travel operators may need to provide flexible booking arrangements, alternative routing options and timely updates to passengers. Travellers are also being encouraged to check flight status directly with their airlines and follow official travel advisories before departure.

The situation around Riyadh should not automatically be treated as a closure of Mecca or all Saudi pilgrimage routes. However, disruption at a major airport can affect wider airline networks and connecting journeys. Passengers should therefore confirm the status of their specific route rather than assume that all services are operating normally.

India–Middle East Trade Takes a Major Hit

The effects of the conflict extend beyond aviation. Disruptions to shipping and movement through the Strait of Hormuz have affected India's trade with West Asia, particularly during the initial phase of the crisis. India's exports to the Middle East fell by 57.95% in March 2026, while imports from the region declined by 51.64%, according to figures shared by Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal. The fall affected shipments across sectors including gems and jewellery, engineering goods, electronic items, petroleum products and rice. 

Energy supplies have also faced pressure as shipping routes and crude oil movements were disrupted. India responded by diversifying its crude sourcing, including increasing purchases from suppliers outside the most affected routes. However, such adjustments cannot fully remove the risks created by continued insecurity around major maritime chokepoints. The Strait of Hormuz and the wider Red Sea–Suez corridor are strategically important for energy supplies and international trade. Prolonged disruption in these areas can increase freight and insurance costs, delay shipments and affect businesses that depend on predictable delivery schedules.

Airlines and Travel Businesses Need Contingency Plans

The changing security situation highlights the need for airlines, travel operators and tourism businesses to prepare for repeated disruptions rather than rely on a quick return to normal operations. Airlines may need standby aircraft and crews, alternative routing plans and clear communication systems for passengers affected by cancellations. Travel companies can support customers through flexible rebooking, alternative airport arrangements and transparent updates on travel risks.

For Hajj and Umrah operators, dedicated assistance channels and contingency arrangements can help passengers manage changes to their journeys. Businesses involved in trade and logistics may also need to diversify suppliers, review shipping routes and prepare for delays or higher operating costs. Coordination between aviation authorities, airlines and regional governments will remain important. Timely sharing of airspace restrictions and airport updates can help carriers make safer decisions and reduce confusion for travellers.

When Could India - Gulf Travel Stabilise?

A sustained recovery will depend on improvements in regional security, the reopening of restricted airspace and airlines' confidence that routes can operate safely. Even when restrictions are eased, carriers may need time to restore schedules, reposition aircraft and crews, and clear passenger backlogs. The latest attacks around Riyadh show how quickly improvements can be reversed. As a result, a return to normal flight operations cannot be predicted with confidence while security risks remain elevated.

For India, the Gulf will continue to be a vital market for employment-related travel, family visits, tourism, pilgrimage and international connections. The immediate challenge is not simply whether passengers want to travel, but whether airlines can provide safe, reliable and affordable services. The outlook remains uncertain. Until the security situation improves consistently, India–Gulf mobility is likely to remain vulnerable to cancellations, longer routes, higher costs and sudden changes to airline schedules.


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