Indian Hotels Poised for Revenue Growth and ARR Surge in FY2025: ICRA Forecast

Indian Hotels Poised for Revenue Growth and ARR Surge in FY2025: ICRA Forecast

By Author

Published on February 23, 2024

The Indian hotel industry is on the brink of significant growth, with ICRA forecasting a revenue increase of 7-9% in FY2025, building on the robust 14-16% growth anticipated in FY2024. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a combination of factors, including sustained domestic travel momentum, an uptick in meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) demand, a resurgence in weddings and business travel, and the burgeoning interest in spiritual tourism and tier-II city destinations.

ICRA's analysis points to a sustained period of high occupancy for pan-India premium hotels, expected to maintain decadal highs of 70-72% in both FY2024 and FY2025, after a recovery to 68-70% in FY2023. Concurrently, Average Room Rates (ARRs) are on an upward trajectory, predicted to increase from INR 7,200-7,400 in FY2024 to INR 7,800-8,000 in FY2025. This rise in ARRs is bringing the industry closer to the FY2008 peak levels, albeit at an 8-12% discount in FY2024, with a convergence expected in FY2025.

Despite the general trend, certain hotels and locations have already surpassed the FY2008 peak ARR figures in FY2024, indicating a spike beyond the average increases. This surge is supported by a healthy demand outlook, driven by improvements in infrastructure, air connectivity, demographic factors, and the growth of large-scale MICE events facilitated by new convention centers.

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The Indian hotel sector's recovery and growth are bolstered by several ongoing and upcoming renovations, refurbishments, and upgrades across the industry, further enhancing ARRs. The sustained interest in domestic leisure travel and the slow but steady recovery of Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTA) – contingent on the global macroeconomic climate – are additional factors contributing to the industry's positive trajectory.

Vinutaa S, Vice President and Sector Head – Corporate Ratings, ICRA Limited, highlighted the critical role of domestic tourism as the primary demand driver in FY2024 and its expected continuation in the near term. Despite the wane of the revenge travel phenomenon, leisure travel remains a steadfast contributor to the industry's recovery path. However, the industry's full potential is somewhat hampered by the lingering challenges in the supply chain.

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Looking ahead, the Indian hotel industry's revenue growth is expected to be complemented by a favorable supply situation, healthy demand in the MICE segment, and the strategic expansion of larger players through management contracts and operating leases. This confluence of factors, coupled with the uptick in earnings and cash flows, is poised to support a stronger capital structure and improved debt metrics beyond pre-Covid levels in FY2024 and FY2025.

As the Indian hotel industry navigates through this period of recovery and growth, the focus on enhancing guest experiences, leveraging domestic tourism, and capitalizing on the strategic expansion opportunities will be key to sustaining the positive momentum.

For more detailed insights and analysis on the Indian hotel industry's outlook, visit ICRA's official website.


SP Jain Praises Budget 2024’s Focus on Tourism Development

SP Jain Praises Budget 2024’s Focus on Tourism Development

By Nishang Narayan

Published on July 25, 2024

The Union Budget 2024-25 has garnered a positive response from the tourism and hospitality sector, with key industry figures applauding the government's initiatives. Mr. SP Jain, Chairman and Founder of Pride Hotels Group, shared his perspective on the budget's impact.

SP Jain's Viewpoint:

"We warmly welcome the budget announced today by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. The government's focus on the tourism industry, especially the development initiatives for Jharkhand, Odisha, and the North East, is commendable. The special emphasis on Rajgir and Nalanda will undoubtedly enhance religious and cultural tourism, creating new opportunities for growth and community engagement.

In 2023, India's tourism sector attracted over 9 million foreign tourists, marking a remarkable growth rate of over 40% year-on-year. The budget's commitment to enhancing spiritual tourism, particularly through the development of significant sites like Bodh Gaya and the Vishnupada Temple, is a strategic move that promises substantial economic benefits for the regions involved.

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However, we had hoped that the Honorable Minister would grant infrastructure status to the hospitality industry. As a highly capital-intensive sector, our industry requires significant investments, and the initial 3-4 years often yield no profits due to high-interest loans from banks. Granting infrastructure status would enable us to access loans at lower interest rates, facilitating the development of more hotels and improving the quality of facilities offered. This is essential to attract both Indian and international tourists and to support the overall development of our industry," said Mr. SP Jain, Chairman and Founder, Pride Hotels Group.

The Union Budget 2024-25 is set to enhance India's tourism landscape significantly. With targeted investments in key spiritual and cultural sites and a focus on regional development, the budget aims to boost tourism, create jobs, and stimulate economic growth. Industry leaders like SP Jain appreciate these efforts but continue to advocate for infrastructure status to further support the sector's growth.


Animesh Kumar, Head of Commercials at ibis & ibis Styles India, Shares Insights on Union Budget 2024's Impact on Tourism and Hospitality

Animesh Kumar, Head of Commercials at ibis & ibis Styles India,  Shares Insights on Union Budget 2024's Impact on Tourism and Hospitality

By Nishang Narayan

Published on July 24, 2024

The Union Budget 2024-25, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, has elicited varied reactions across different sectors. Animesh Kumar, Head of Commercials at ibis & ibis Styles India, provides his perspective on the budget's implications for tourism and hospitality.

Budget Reaction Quote by Animesh Kumar:

"It is highly encouraging to see that the Hon'ble Finance Minister has underscored the vital role of tourism in driving our economy and boosting employment and GDP. The enhanced focus on developing tourism corridors at Vishnupad Temple and Mahabodhi Temple, modeled after the successful Kashi Vishwanath Temple initiative, will significantly contribute to tourism growth during the Amrit Kal. Additionally, the government's support for transforming Nalanda in Bihar into a major tourist destination is a noteworthy step forward. Finance Minister Sitharaman's announcement of an economic policy framework aimed at ushering in next-generation reforms to drive economic growth further underscores this commitment. The Union Budget's robust allocation of Rs 11.11 lakh crore for capital expenditure also highlights a strong commitment to infrastructure development.

However, to fully harness the potential of the hospitality sector and further enhance tourism, it was crucial for the government to consider more lenient tax policies and allocate a substantial budget to elevate hotel standards. We are optimistic that future support from the Government will include granting infrastructure status to the hospitality and tourism sectors, which will help us achieve long-awaited progress and drive sustained growth."

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Animesh Kumar appreciates the budget's focus on enhancing tourism infrastructure and supporting key spiritual sites. While he acknowledges the positive strides made, he advocates for more support in terms of tax policies and funding to advance the hospitality sector. With continued government commitment, there is hope for significant progress and growth in both tourism and hospitality industries.


Pradeep Shetty, President of FHRAI, Comments on Union Budget 2024's Impact on Hospitality Sector

Pradeep Shetty, President of FHRAI, Comments on Union Budget 2024's Impact on Hospitality Sector

By Nishang Narayan

Published on July 24, 2024

The Union Budget 2024-25, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, was eagerly anticipated by the hospitality sector, especially in light of the Government of India's vision of Viksit Bharat by 2047. Pradeep Shetty, President of the Federation of Hotel & Restaurant Associations of India (FHRAI), offers his perspective on the budget’s implications for the sector.

Comment by Pradeep Shetty:

"The hospitality sector has been pinning high hopes on the Union Budget for 2024-25 presented by Smt. Nirmala Sitharaman today, on the backdrop of the Government of India's stated vision of Viksit Bharat by 2047 and the critical role tourism industry holds in achieving it. However, there is nothing spectacular in the budget to bring structural changes to address the fundamental challenges it faces in a competitive world order and to accelerate the growth of the sector to be a $3 trillion economy by 2047.

Some key demands of tourism & hospitality to revitalise the sector such as GST rationalisation, granting of infrastructure status and bringing ease of doing business and policy reforms have not been considered in the budget once again, given the well-accepted multiplier effect of tourism on employment and economy. The hospitality sector is disappointed but not dejected as the overall focus on infrastructure development, employment generation, skill development, and development of religious tourism centres are the silver linings which will help the sector to tide over some of the critical challenges that it faces today. The focus of Budget 2024 on youth employment, skill development, and job creation are welcome initiatives. The industry has been facing a shortage of skilled workforce, especially in the hospitality sector.

It is also laudable that the Honourable Finance Minister's Budget speech highlights the Government's commitment to making India a premier global travel destination through targeted investment and strategic initiatives. Development of iconic spiritual sites along with the promotion of cruise and beach tourism can be helpful in attracting both domestic and international tourists."

While the Union Budget 2024-25 may not have met all the expectations of the hospitality sector, particularly regarding structural reforms and GST rationalization, it does offer positive elements such as infrastructure development, skill enhancement, and the promotion of tourism. These measures are expected to support the sector in overcoming current challenges and contribute to India's goal of becoming a leading global travel destination.

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