Indian Hotels Poised for Revenue Growth and ARR Surge in FY2025: ICRA Forecast

Indian Hotels Poised for Revenue Growth and ARR Surge in FY2025: ICRA Forecast

By Author

Published on February 23, 2024

The Indian hotel industry is on the brink of significant growth, with ICRA forecasting a revenue increase of 7-9% in FY2025, building on the robust 14-16% growth anticipated in FY2024. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a combination of factors, including sustained domestic travel momentum, an uptick in meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) demand, a resurgence in weddings and business travel, and the burgeoning interest in spiritual tourism and tier-II city destinations.

ICRA's analysis points to a sustained period of high occupancy for pan-India premium hotels, expected to maintain decadal highs of 70-72% in both FY2024 and FY2025, after a recovery to 68-70% in FY2023. Concurrently, Average Room Rates (ARRs) are on an upward trajectory, predicted to increase from INR 7,200-7,400 in FY2024 to INR 7,800-8,000 in FY2025. This rise in ARRs is bringing the industry closer to the FY2008 peak levels, albeit at an 8-12% discount in FY2024, with a convergence expected in FY2025.

Despite the general trend, certain hotels and locations have already surpassed the FY2008 peak ARR figures in FY2024, indicating a spike beyond the average increases. This surge is supported by a healthy demand outlook, driven by improvements in infrastructure, air connectivity, demographic factors, and the growth of large-scale MICE events facilitated by new convention centers.

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The Indian hotel sector's recovery and growth are bolstered by several ongoing and upcoming renovations, refurbishments, and upgrades across the industry, further enhancing ARRs. The sustained interest in domestic leisure travel and the slow but steady recovery of Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTA) – contingent on the global macroeconomic climate – are additional factors contributing to the industry's positive trajectory.

Vinutaa S, Vice President and Sector Head – Corporate Ratings, ICRA Limited, highlighted the critical role of domestic tourism as the primary demand driver in FY2024 and its expected continuation in the near term. Despite the wane of the revenge travel phenomenon, leisure travel remains a steadfast contributor to the industry's recovery path. However, the industry's full potential is somewhat hampered by the lingering challenges in the supply chain.

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Looking ahead, the Indian hotel industry's revenue growth is expected to be complemented by a favorable supply situation, healthy demand in the MICE segment, and the strategic expansion of larger players through management contracts and operating leases. This confluence of factors, coupled with the uptick in earnings and cash flows, is poised to support a stronger capital structure and improved debt metrics beyond pre-Covid levels in FY2024 and FY2025.

As the Indian hotel industry navigates through this period of recovery and growth, the focus on enhancing guest experiences, leveraging domestic tourism, and capitalizing on the strategic expansion opportunities will be key to sustaining the positive momentum.

For more detailed insights and analysis on the Indian hotel industry's outlook, visit ICRA's official website.


India’s Hospitality Sector Attracts USD 93 Million in H1 2024 Investments: JLL Report

India’s Hospitality Sector Attracts USD 93 Million in H1 2024 Investments: JLL Report

By Nishang Narayan

Published on September 8, 2024

India’s hospitality sector witnessed a strong USD 93 million in investment during the first half of 2024, according to JLL's Hotel Investment Trends in India for H1 2024. With the year-end forecasted to close at USD 413 million, this marks a 22% increase from 2023, highlighting the sector's resilient growth trajectory.

According to JLL, operational hotels made up 72% of the total transaction volume, with 23% attributed to under-construction properties, and the remaining 5% involving land leases, particularly for greenfield developments in key airport districts.

The report revealed six major hotel transactions during this period, spread across Tier I and leisure markets. Listed hotel companies dominated the investment landscape, accounting for 44% of the total volume, followed by owner-operators at 30%, and High-Net-Worth Individuals (HNIs), family offices, and private hotel owners contributing 26%.

Jaideep Dang, Managing Director of Hotels and Hospitality Group, India at JLL, commented, “The first half of 2024 has set the stage for a vibrant hotel transactions landscape for the rest of the year. The projected year-end volume of USD 413 million reflects a 22% growth over 2023, illustrating the strength of the sector amid favorable macro-economic conditions, expanding commercial markets, and improved air connectivity.”

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Tier I markets such as Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune, and Chennai led the way, accounting for 78% of the projected transaction volumes. Tier II and III markets followed with 22%, demonstrating increased investor interest in both metro and emerging destinations.

Notably, the first half of 2024 also saw 19,442 hotel keys signed, with a significant 83% located in Tier II and III cities. Management contracts remained the preferred mode of operation, making up 89% of the signings, followed by franchises and lease/revenue share agreements. The number of greenfield projects also surged, with 13,700 keys signed, surpassing the total number of signings in 2023.

As for the Radisson Hotel Group, the company reported robust growth with over 130 new signings and openings globally in H1 2024. Their Radisson Collection, Radisson Blu, and Radisson RED brands spearheaded this expansion, with Radisson RED making its entry into new markets such as Ireland, New Zealand, Thailand, Laos, and China. The brand also debuted in Paris with the signing of the first Radisson Collection near the Louvre Museum, while the Radisson Collection Hotel Roma Antica opened in Rome, near the Pantheon.

Jaideep Dang further noted, "Investor interest in both operational assets and land sales highlights the attractiveness of the current investment environment. The expansion of air connectivity, especially in Tier I cities, is playing a significant role in supporting this growth, as is the continued demand for domestic travel and commercial activity.”

With two major transactions already facilitated by JLL in the second half of 2024, amounting to USD 70 million, the sector is set for an exciting close to the year, further reinforcing confidence in India’s booming hospitality industry.


The Hosteller Raises USD 4 Million to Fuel Expansion to 150 Locations Across India

The Hosteller Raises USD 4 Million to Fuel Expansion to 150 Locations Across India

By Nishang Narayan

Published on September 8, 2024

The Hosteller, India's top backpacker hostel chain, has successfully raised USD 4 million (approximately INR 32 crore) in its Series A funding round. Led by V3 Ventures, with participation from LV Angel Fund, FAO Ventures, Synergy Capital Partners, Unit-e Consulting, Ice.VC, Thrive Ventures, and several real estate family offices, this investment elevates The Hosteller’s valuation to INR 200 crore (around USD 25 million).

With the fresh capital, The Hosteller aims to accelerate its expansion, planning to grow its footprint to over 150 locations across India within the next 24 to 30 months. The company is focused on strengthening its presence in metro cities while expanding to new travel destinations, offering backpackers immersive and high-quality travel experiences.

Speaking on the funding, Arjun Vaidya, Co-founder of V3 Ventures, expressed confidence in the startup's trajectory, saying, “The Hosteller has firmly established its leadership in the travel space through outstanding execution. We are proud to support the company as it enters its next phase of growth, with plans to expand to over 150 locations.”

Pranav Dangi, Founder and CEO of The Hosteller, highlighted the brand’s commitment to offering unique travel experiences, stating, “Our focus remains on delivering exceptional travel experiences to our backpacker community while fostering sustainable growth. With the launch of Glu, our complete tech concierge, and other initiatives, we are setting new benchmarks in the hospitality sector.”

The company’s CFO, Saksham Khemka, added, “This capital infusion will accelerate our expansion plans while ensuring we maintain the high service standards our guests expect. We’ve seen a 4x growth in locations over the past three years, and we aim to continue this momentum by adding four to five new hostels each month.”

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Since its founding in 2014, The Hosteller has become synonymous with affordable, quality lodging and immersive travel experiences. Operating in 60 locations, including major cities and scenic regions like Himachal Pradesh and Karnataka, it is the only backpacker hostel chain with a presence in over 12 Indian states.

For the fiscal year ending March 2024, The Hosteller reported top-line revenue of INR 55 crore with positive net margins. With plans to add 50 more properties by the end of this year, The Hosteller is poised to solidify its position as the largest backpacker hostel chain in South Asia.


Hong Kong Sees 155% Rise in Indian Tourists in 2024

Hong Kong Sees 155% Rise in Indian Tourists in 2024

By Nithyakala Neelakandan

Published on September 2, 2024

Hong Kong is experiencing a strong recovery in tourism, with a notable increase in visitors from India during the first half of 2024. The city welcomed 181,000 Indian tourists, marking a remarkable 155% year-on-year rise. This surge in visitors coincides with Hong Kong's broader tourism boom, which saw 21 million arrivals between January and June 2024.

The Hong Kong Tourism Board (HKTB) recently concluded its annual Hong Kong Travel Mission in India, visiting Mumbai, Chennai, and New Delhi from August 20 to August 23. This mission featured a 36-seller delegation of Hong Kong’s key trade partners, including popular attractions, theme parks, leading hotels, airlines, and cruise lines. They engaged with over 500 Indian trade partners, aiming to strengthen tourism ties between the two regions.

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Indian tourists have shown a growing interest in Hong Kong’s diverse attractions, with top choices including Hong Kong Disneyland, Temple Street, Ocean Park, The Peak, and Tsim Sha Tsui. To cater to this interest, the HKTB is promoting a range of year-round events, such as the Hong Kong Wine and Dine Festival, Hong Kong Winterfest, and the highly anticipated New Year Countdown Fireworks.

Puneet Kumar, Director for South Asia and the Middle East at the HKTB, highlighted the board’s dedication to enhancing the travel experience for Indian visitors. He stated, “At Hong Kong Tourism, we are dedicated to enhancing the travel experience for Indian tourists through a variety of engaging programs and events." Kumar also noted that the average stay of Indian tourists has increased from three days in 2018 to 4.5 days in 2024, with an average spending of HKD 9,100 per person.

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Hong Kong’s vibrant MICE (Meetings, Incentives, Conferences, and Exhibitions) sector has also seen robust growth, with approximately 700,000 MICE arrivals in the first half of 2024. To further attract MICE visitors, the HKTB launched the "Hong Kong Incentive Playbook" initiative, offering over 100 innovative group experiences designed to inspire and energize corporate teams.

The HKTB’s efforts align with global trends, as several countries, including Singapore, Dubai, Oman, Thailand, and Tajikistan, are actively targeting Indian travelers to boost their tourism industries. By promoting Hong Kong as a year-round destination with seamless travel options, the HKTB aims to attract more Indian tourists, particularly from Gen Z and Millennial segments interested in concerts, festivals, and other vibrant events.

As the HKTB continues to focus on both leisure and business travel, Hong Kong is positioning itself as a preferred destination for Indian tourists, offering unique experiences and easy travel processes. With visa-free entry and direct flights from major Indian cities, Hong Kong is becoming an increasingly accessible and appealing destination for Indian travelers.

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