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By Nishang Narayan
Published on January 8, 2025
Following the demerger of ITC Hotels from its parent company, ITC Ltd., domestic brokerage firm Nuvama has predicted a passive outflow of approximately USD 180 million. This corporate action will have a notable impact on major indices such as Nifty50 and Sensex, with expected passive outflows of USD 110 million and USD 70 million, respectively.
Nuvama's analysis suggests that assuming ITC’s share price remains stable around INR 260 at the time of exclusion, the passive flow for Nifty50 will amount to USD 110 million (with a weight of 23 basis points), while Sensex will experience an outflow of USD 70 million (with a weight of 28 basis points).
A special price discovery session was held to adjust ITC’s share price, resulting in an INR 26 adjustment on NSE and INR 27 on BSE as the stock began trading ex-demerger on January 6. The demerger ratio of 1:10 (one share of ITC Hotels for every 10 shares of ITC Ltd.) has led to the valuation of ITC Hotels at approximately INR 260 on the Nifty50 indices and INR 270 on BSE indices.
Until ITC Hotels is officially listed separately, it will be treated as a "dummy entity" with a fixed price, and the stock will be held at this value temporarily. According to Nuvama, ITC Hotels is expected to be listed within the next 30-40 days. Following the listing, ITC Hotels will be removed from all NSE and BSE indices at its last traded price, effective at the opening on the listing date, with a three-day adjustment period. If the stock hits circuit limits, the exclusion will be postponed by two trading days for each occurrence.
Nuvama also noted that ITC Hotels may qualify for inclusion in the MSCI Global Small Cap Indexes, but this will only happen if the stock is listed within 20 working days after the record date of the demerger.
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