Super El Niño and the New Heat Challenge for Indian Hotels

Super El Niño and the New Heat Challenge for Indian Hotels

By Manu Vardhan Kannan

Published on September 25, 2026

Nowadays, the problem of rising heat is making headlines almost every day. With the possibility of an exceptionally strong Super El Niño adding further pressure to global weather patterns, the hospitality industry could also feel the impact.

El Niño is a recurring climate pattern in which unusually warm surface water develops in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. This changes atmospheric circulation and can disrupt normal rainfall and temperature patterns across different parts of the world.

“Super El Niño” is an informal term and not a separate scientific category. It generally refers to an exceptionally strong El Niño. As of September 2026, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center projects a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño during the Northern Hemisphere autumn and winter of 2026–27, with a 75% probability that October–December could become a historic-strength event. The conditions may continue into early 2027.

For India, the principal risks include a weaker or irregular monsoon, prolonged heat, lower agricultural output, water stress and greater pressure on the power system. However, the impact will not be the same across every state or destination. For hospitality, this could become more than a weather story. Higher temperatures can directly affect hotel electricity consumption, water usage, food procurement, maintenance, guest comfort and outdoor events.

When Heat Becomes a Hotel Operating Challenge

Hotels cannot easily reduce their essential consumption during periods of extreme heat. Even a vacant or partially occupied property still needs refrigeration, security systems, water pumps, IT infrastructure and minimum cooling.

Higher temperatures can increase air-conditioning use across guestrooms, lobbies, kitchens, banquet halls, offices and back-of-house areas. Electricity demand can also rise across cold rooms, laundries, elevators, lighting and other hotel systems. This can lead to higher electricity bills, greater peak demand, additional generator use and increased pressure on transformers, switchgear and chillers. Extreme outdoor temperatures can also reduce chiller efficiency, making it harder to maintain comfortable room temperatures during peak afternoon periods.

Large convention and MICE properties could face even greater pressure. A single event can activate exhibition halls, meeting rooms, kitchens, registration areas, audiovisual equipment and guest-room inventory at the same time. For hotels, energy efficiency therefore becomes more than a sustainability initiative. Chiller sequencing, building-management systems, thermal insulation, solar generation, battery storage and power-quality monitoring can become important measures for protecting operations and margins.

Water Could Become Another Pressure Point

Heat can also increase water demand across hotels and resorts. Guest rooms, laundry, kitchens, cooling towers, swimming pools, landscaping and sanitation all require water. If high temperatures are accompanied by irregular rainfall or water shortages, properties may have to balance guest expectations with essential operational requirements.

The challenge could be particularly significant for resorts and remote properties where local water infrastructure is already limited. Water storage, recycling, efficient fixtures and better monitoring could therefore become increasingly important. For hospitality businesses, preparing for water stress is not only about sustainability; it is also about maintaining uninterrupted guest service.

The Heat Could Reach the Hotel Kitchen

The impact could also move from hotel utilities into the kitchen. Vegetable procurement may become more difficult when heat, water shortages or irregular rainfall affect agricultural yields. The issue is not simply higher prices. Hotels could also face inconsistent quality, shorter shelf life, supply delays and sudden changes in availability. Tomatoes, onions, leafy greens, gourds, beans and other water-sensitive produce could see greater price and availability volatility.

This may lead hotels to depend on multiple mandis, distributors and regional suppliers. Heat can also accelerate deterioration during transportation and storage, increasing food wastage and putting additional pressure on food-cost percentages and banquet profitability. Menus may need to become more flexible when particular ingredients are unavailable. Seasonal, local and less water-intensive ingredients could gain greater importance, while procurement teams may need to identify substitute ingredients in advance.

Hotels should also avoid assuming that every commodity will rise in price at the same time. Each product needs to be monitored separately, with procurement teams preparing alternatives where necessary.

Electricity Interruptions Can Become a Guest Experience Problem

A short power interruption can create a much larger service problem inside a hotel. Even if a generator starts quickly, individual systems may need to restart or reset. Guest-room air-conditioning and lighting could be interrupted, while elevators, access-control systems, CCTV, Wi-Fi and property-management systems may also be affected. In kitchens, refrigeration and cold rooms are critical. In banquet spaces, power interruptions can affect sound, lighting and audiovisual equipment. Water-pump failures can affect guest rooms, kitchens and other essential systems, while chiller trips can take longer to restore.

Payment terminals, reservations and check-in systems can also be disrupted. The result can go beyond a temporary inconvenience. It may lead to guest complaints, refunds, negative online reviews or even disruption to conferences and weddings. A hotel's backup plan therefore needs to cover more than generator capacity. Automatic transfer systems, adequate fuel, UPS support for critical IT equipment, priority circuits, preventive testing and a clear communication plan for guests and event organisers can all become important.

Will Super El Niño Affect Destination Weddings?

There is currently no strong evidence that Super El Niño alone will cause a broad decline in destination-wedding bookings in India. The more plausible change could be in timing, venue design and destination choice.

Extreme heat and uncertain weather could make outdoor daytime ceremonies and open-air receptions without adequate cooling less attractive. Remote venues with weak electricity, limited water supply or difficult transport access could also face greater challenges. At the same time, demand could move towards indoor banquet halls, climate-controlled wedding venues and cooler destinations during hotter months. Hotels that offer weather-contingency plans, reliable generators, water storage and covered walkways could become more attractive to wedding planners and families.

Shorter outdoor programmes and evening-focused celebrations could also become more practical. Therefore, the stronger hospitality angle is not that El Niño will reduce destination weddings, but that Super El Niño may move wedding demand towards cooler, climate-controlled and infrastructure-secure venues.

Could Cooler Destinations Gain?

If temperatures remain high in several parts of the country, travellers may increasingly look towards cooler destinations for leisure breaks. Hill destinations could benefit from heat-avoidance travel during hotter periods, although these destinations also face their own challenges around water, roads and infrastructure.

Beach and heritage destinations may continue to attract travellers, but extreme heat could shorten daytime activities and increase the importance of indoor entertainment, pools, wellness facilities and other resort amenities. This could result in changing travel patterns rather than a simple increase or decrease in overall hotel demand.

Demand for Hospitality Products Could Rise

A stronger climate-related pressure could also create new demand for products and services used by hotels. Air-conditioning equipment, replacement chillers, VRF systems, high-efficiency compressors, generators, UPS systems, batteries and automatic transfer switches could see greater attention. Water infrastructure such as storage tanks, treatment systems, recycling plants and efficient fixtures could become more important. Hotels may also invest in walk-in chillers, freezers, insulated crates and temperature-monitoring systems to protect food supplies.

Building materials such as roof insulation, reflective coatings, solar-control glass, shading systems and cool-roof solutions could also gain relevance. Rooftop solar, battery storage and energy-management software may help properties manage rising electricity requirements, while outdoor-event venues could look at temporary cooling, misting systems, shaded structures and weather-resistant infrastructure.

Procurement technology could also play a role through inventory management, supplier diversification and food-waste monitoring. However, not every supplier will benefit equally. Hotels facing margin pressure may delay large capital investments, while properties dealing with repeated power or equipment failures may need to invest much faster.

What Is Happening With Hotel Bookings in India?

The available September 2026 reporting points to strong hotel demand in several major Indian business and event markets rather than a nationwide booking decline caused by El Niño.

Corporate travel, government movement, BRICS-related activity and events such as Global Fintech Fest and Semicon India have supported occupancy and room rates in destinations including New Delhi, Mumbai, Udaipur, Jaipur, Srinagar, Bhubaneswar and Goa.

The current picture is therefore more segmented.

  • Business and MICE destinations: Demand can remain strong where conferences, corporate travel, government movement and major events are active.

  • Wedding destinations: Demand remains resilient, particularly for premium properties, although planners may increasingly look for indoor venues and weather-contingency arrangements.
  • Hill destinations: These could benefit from travellers looking to escape hotter conditions, although water, roads and infrastructure remain important considerations.

  • Beach and heritage destinations: Demand may remain healthy, but extreme heat could shorten daytime activities and increase the importance of resort facilities.

  • Rural and remote resorts: Properties with unreliable power, limited water or weak road access could be more exposed to cancellations and lower guest satisfaction.

  • Leisure markets without event support: These could be more sensitive to weather-related changes than city hotels supported by corporate and MICE demand.

In short, the Indian hospitality market currently points towards segmented growth rather than a uniform rise or fall. Climate could become one more factor influencing where guests travel, when they travel and which properties they choose.

The Months Ahead

The main pressure period is expected to run from late 2026 into early 2027, with the strongest El Niño conditions expected around the Northern Hemisphere autumn and winter. For hospitality, the impact could develop in stages. In the near term, hotels could see higher cooling loads, volatile produce prices and greater attention to power reliability.

During the peak period, electricity, water, food procurement and outdoor events could face greater pressure. This could strengthen demand for indoor venues, reliable infrastructure and cooler destinations. Even after the weather pattern begins weakening, some effects may continue because agricultural and supply-chain impacts can take longer to recover. Food availability and prices may remain uneven depending on rainfall, irrigation and crop recovery.

Hospitality Needs to Prepare, Not Just React

Super El Niño is unlikely to affect every hotel simply through falling occupancy. Its more immediate impact could be on the cost and reliability of delivering the hotel experience, cool rooms, safe water, fresh food, uninterrupted power and comfortable events. This is where climate resilience becomes important for the hospitality industry.

At HospitalityNews, we believe the growing impact of climate change on hospitality is becoming a reality that the industry cannot ignore. Rising temperatures, water stress, pressure on energy systems and changing weather patterns can influence not only hotel operations but also how guests travel and what they expect from a property.

The answer is not only to react when the next heatwave arrives. Hotels and resorts need to look ahead and strengthen their infrastructure, improve energy and water efficiency, diversify supply chains, invest in renewable energy where practical and build stronger contingency plans. Sustainability, in this context, is not just about reducing environmental impact. It is also about preparing the hospitality business for the future.

As the industry continues to grow, climate resilience will need to grow alongside it. The hotels that prepare today can be better positioned to protect guest comfort, operational continuity and long-term business sustainability in the years ahead.


A Sustainable Diwali Needs Responsible Citizens, Not Just Restrictions

A Sustainable Diwali Needs Responsible Citizens, Not Just Restrictions

By Hariharan U

Published on November 4, 2026

Diwali is a festival of lights, family gatherings, childhood excitement and traditions passed down through generations. Yet, every year, its celebrations increasingly find themselves at the centre of a familiar debate: how much of the festive experience should society give up in the name of environmental protection?

This year, the Supreme Court's decision to permit certified green firecrackers in Delhi-NCR for two days, November 7 and 8, has brought that conversation back into focus. The court has allowed their use between 6 am and 7 am and 8 pm and 10 pm on both days, subject to strict conditions. The complete ban is scheduled to return from November 9. Fireworks are also prohibited within 300 metres of hospitals, nursing homes, old-age homes, educational institutions and notified silence zones. Only approved green crackers certified by CSIR-NEERI and PESO are permitted.

The decision attempts to find a middle ground between public health concerns and the social and emotional significance of Diwali. But perhaps the bigger question is not simply whether crackers should be permitted or prohibited. It is whether we have begun to mistake restrictions for environmental responsibility.

Let Children Celebrate. Let Adults Be Responsible.

For many children, Diwali is not just another holiday. It is the excitement of choosing crackers, celebrating with friends, watching the night sky light up and participating in traditions they may remember for years. Completely removing these experiences from the conversation risks turning environmental awareness into something children associate with denial rather than understanding.

This does not mean celebrations should be unrestricted. Safety, moderation, supervision and consideration for people with health concerns must remain non-negotiable. Certified products should be used where permitted, and local regulations must be respected.

But the responsibility of creating a more sustainable festival should not rest entirely on restricting what children can enjoy. Adults have a much larger opportunity to demonstrate what responsible celebration actually looks like.

Sustainability Cannot Be a Two-Day Conversation

Air pollution is not a problem that begins with Diwali and disappears when the celebrations end. It is influenced by several sources, including transport emissions, industrial activity, construction dust, waste burning and other everyday activities.

Yet, much of the public conversation around sustainability becomes particularly intense during festivals. We debate firecrackers, impose restrictions and expect a seasonal intervention to address an environmental problem that requires attention throughout the year.

Consider our everyday choices. How often do we choose public transport instead of taking our personal vehicles? Can families travelling to celebrations share a ride? Can offices encourage employees to use buses, metro services or other shared transport? Can we reduce unnecessary electricity consumption, avoid excessive packaging and manage festive waste responsibly?

These may appear to be small decisions, but they represent something more substantial: a willingness to take responsibility beyond the occasions when environmental concerns dominate the headlines.

Choosing public transport will not cancel out the pollution caused by firecrackers, and it should not be presented as a justification for excessive bursting. However, reducing unnecessary private vehicle usage can help address transport-related emissions throughout the year. Both issues deserve attention in their own right.

From Controlling Celebrations to Building Awareness

Regulations have a role in protecting public health. Restrictions around hospitals, educational institutions and vulnerable communities are important. Enforcement against illegal and unauthorised products is equally necessary.

However, regulation alone cannot create an environmentally conscious society. If people follow sustainable practices only because they fear penalties, the change may remain temporary. Awareness, participation and individual accountability are what make responsible behaviour sustainable.

Instead of making children feel that celebrating Diwali is inherently irresponsible, families can use the occasion to teach them about moderation, safety, pollution and consideration for others. Adults can lead by example by choosing shared transport, avoiding unnecessary consumption, cleaning up after celebrations and making more conscious everyday decisions.

The Supreme Court has also called for a broader change in public perception, alongside regulatory measures. That is an important reminder that environmental protection cannot be achieved through enforcement alone.

The Festival We Want to Pass On

A sustainable Diwali should not be measured solely by how many restrictions are imposed or how many crackers are avoided. It should also be measured by the habits we develop, the choices we make and the values we pass on to the next generation.

Children should be allowed to experience the joy of festivals within reasonable safety and environmental boundaries. Adults, meanwhile, must recognise that their responsibility does not end with asking others to change their behaviour.

We cannot celebrate sustainability for two days and forget about it for the remaining 363.

Perhaps the real spirit of a greener Diwali lies in finding that balance: preserving the joy of celebration while becoming more conscious citizens. Because the change we expect from society must first find a place in our own lives.


Airlines Tighten Costs as Rising Fuel Prices Put Pressure on Fares

Airlines Tighten Costs as Rising Fuel Prices Put Pressure on Fares

By Manu Vardhan Kannan

Published on November 4, 2026

The global aviation industry is entering a period of tighter cost control as rising jet fuel prices, geopolitical tensions and increasing operational expenses put pressure on airline margins. From reducing flight capacity to reviewing routes and increasing ticket prices, carriers are adjusting their operations to manage expenses. While these decisions may help airlines protect their financial position, passengers could face higher fares and fewer flight options in the months ahead.

Recent developments at Ryanair and Fiji Airways highlight the growing pressure. Ryanair is planning cost-cutting measures and fare increases in response to soaring jet fuel costs. The airline reported a six per cent fall in second-quarter profit, prompting it to review expenses. Its Chief Executive, Michael O'Leary, has also indicated that fares are likely to increase next year across European airlines. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is adding to the pressure, with the airline expecting a significant rise in its fuel bill.

Fiji Airways has also introduced a series of cost-cutting measures amid rising global aviation costs. The airline reported approximately US$150 million in additional fuel expenses over the past three months compared with the same period last year. These developments reflect a wider challenge for airlines, where fuel costs are rising faster than carriers can comfortably pass them on to passengers.

The pressure is not limited to these airlines. Across the United States and Europe, carriers are reviewing less profitable routes, reducing capacity and taking a closer look at labour and operating expenses. Some airlines are choosing to protect ticket prices rather than offer heavy discounts, while others are reconsidering fleet expansion and aircraft retirement plans. Aircraft delivery delays have also forced some carriers to operate older planes for longer, adding to fuel and maintenance expenses.

In India, the impact is visible through higher fares, fuel surcharges and changes to flight schedules. IndiGo has indicated that it may increase fares after reporting a significant rise in its fuel bill. Indian airlines have also reduced scheduled domestic capacity for November 2026 compared with the same festival period last year. Air India and IndiGo have both cut weekly domestic flights, while weaker passenger numbers have added to the pressure on airline revenues.

These changes could affect passengers differently. Leisure travellers may find fewer low-fare options, while last-minute bookings could become more expensive as available seats decline. Passengers travelling to smaller cities may also face reduced frequencies or fewer direct connections as airlines prioritise routes with stronger demand. Business travellers, meanwhile, could have fewer convenient flight timings and higher travel budgets.

However, cost control does not necessarily mean that airlines should pass every increase directly to passengers. A balanced approach can help reduce fare pressure without forcing airlines to absorb losses they cannot sustain. In India, measures have already been introduced to address some of these challenges.

Reducing aviation turbine fuel (ATF) taxes and airport charges can lower operating expenses at the source. Tamil Nadu, for instance, reduced ATF VAT at Chennai to 16 per cent and to one per cent at other state airports. Maharashtra and Delhi have also reduced VAT. During the recent fuel-price shock, India capped domestic ATF price increases at 25 per cent above the March 2026 base for April and May, alongside support of up to ₹10,000 crore for oil marketing companies to help stabilise fuel prices.

Airport charges have also been part of the relief measures, with a 25 per cent reduction in landing and parking charges at major airports for three months. The move reportedly helped airlines save around ₹400 crore. Such temporary measures can ease immediate pressure, although they cannot completely offset the impact of elevated global fuel prices.

The government's role also extends beyond reducing costs. Protecting regional connectivity, improving airport capacity, encouraging competition and ensuring transparent fare disclosures can help passengers make informed decisions. India is not moving towards routine airfare caps. From January 1, 2027, the Bharatiya Vayuyan Niyam will largely allow market forces to determine fares, while retaining the Centre's power to intervene in extraordinary circumstances in the public interest. Airlines will also be required to submit tariff details to the DGCA and publish fares, including applicable charges, on their websites.

For airlines, the immediate priority is to protect margins while keeping essential routes operational. For governments, the challenge is to maintain a competitive market without allowing sudden fare increases to place an unreasonable burden on passengers. Wider ATF tax relief, temporary airport-charge support, stronger fare monitoring and investment in regional connectivity can all contribute to this balance.

The aviation industry is not simply facing a cost-cutting phase; it is reassessing how it operates in an increasingly expensive and uncertain environment. While airlines need to control costs to remain financially sustainable, passengers should not be left with fewer choices and increasingly expensive journeys. The way forward lies in a balanced approach that supports airline viability, protects connectivity and keeps air travel accessible.


As India Moves to Protect Gig Workers, Where Does Hospitality Stand?

As India Moves to Protect Gig Workers, Where Does Hospitality Stand?

By Hariharan U

Published on November 3, 2026

India's hospitality industry is increasingly shaped by a workforce that operates beyond conventional employment structures. From food delivery executives and cloud kitchen personnel to workers engaged through digital platforms, flexible labour has become an important part of how hospitality businesses deliver services. However, as the industry expands its reliance on these employment models, questions surrounding worker protection and social security remain significant.

Against this backdrop, the Ministry of Labour and Employment has notified the constitution of the National Social Security Board for Unorganised Workers and Gig and Platform Workers, marking another institutional step towards extending social protection to India's informal and platform-based workforce.

Presided over by the Union Minister for Labour and Employment, the Board includes representatives from Central and State Governments, aggregator companies, employers, civil society organisations, workers' unions and gig and platform worker associations. It is mandated to recommend suitable welfare schemes, advise the Central Government on matters concerning the administration of the Code on Social Security, 2020, and monitor the implementation of centrally administered social welfare schemes. The Board is also required to meet at least three times a year.

The workforce behind hospitality's convenience

The growth of food delivery platforms, cloud kitchens and technology-enabled hospitality services has transformed the relationship between businesses and their workforce. Delivery partners, for instance, have become an essential link between restaurants and consumers, while platform-based services have introduced new ways of accessing work and managing demand.

Yet, flexibility does not necessarily translate into financial security. Workers operating outside conventional employer-employee relationships may face uncertainties relating to income continuity, accident protection, healthcare and retirement benefits.

It is important, however, to distinguish gig and platform workers from contractual employees. A housekeeping professional employed through a staffing agency or a temporary banquet employee may fall under a different employment arrangement and legal framework. The implications of the new Board therefore need to be understood in the context of the specific categories of workers it is mandated to address.

What could change for hospitality businesses?

The Code on Social Security, 2020 provides for social security schemes covering life and disability protection, accident insurance, health and maternity benefits, old-age protection and crèche facilities for gig and platform workers.

For the hospitality ecosystem, particularly restaurants and food delivery aggregators, the evolving framework could bring greater attention to how workforce welfare is funded, administered and monitored.

Section 114 of the Code provides for aggregator contributions towards specified social security schemes, subject to prescribed rates and conditions. The contribution framework envisages a rate between 1% and 2% of an aggregator's annual turnover, subject to a ceiling of 5% of the amount paid or payable to gig and platform workers. However, the applicable commencement and implementation provisions must be considered before assessing the actual financial implications for businesses.

For smaller restaurants and hospitality operators, the wider question is how these evolving welfare mechanisms will interact with existing operating costs and the growing dependence on platform-based services.

Worker welfare as an industry priority

Beyond regulatory compliance, improving workforce protection could also have wider implications for the hospitality industry. Employee well-being, workforce retention, service consistency and operational stability are closely connected.

An industry that depends heavily on human interaction cannot overlook the conditions under which its workforce operates. While flexible employment models offer businesses the ability to respond to changing demand, the sustainability of these models also depends on whether workers have access to adequate protection.

The challenge lies in developing a framework that balances the operational requirements of businesses with the social and financial security of workers.

From policy framework to meaningful protection

The constitution of the National Social Security Board establishes an institutional mechanism for recommending and monitoring welfare measures. However, its effectiveness will ultimately depend on the schemes that follow, the accessibility of benefits, funding arrangements and coordination between the Centre, States and industry stakeholders.

For India's hospitality sector, the development presents an opportunity to look beyond service delivery and business expansion towards the people who sustain the industry.

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